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Games of Knowledge | Sports and Exercise

Games of Knowledge and Games of Sport

Condominiums Juegos Sonic FSBO | Fantasy Sports – Defense Wins Games – In Real Life And Fantasy Football

Posted By on June 30, 2010

condominiums In real life NFL games it is well known that a good offense can only get you so far. It is the defense that not only wins games, but championships. Could the same be true for fantasy football? In our NFL preseason thinking we recommend holding off on drafting a defense until the later rounds because you can still get good value late in the draft. However, while there may still be good value in the later rounds, the question is: just how essential is a good defense to winning in fantasy football?

juegos sonic To explore this we looked across 10 random head to head Yahoo leagues and looked at how frequently a team wins their weekly match-up when their defense scores more than 10 pts. Of the 200 games we looked at 140 qualified, meaning one of the team’s defenses scored more than 10 pts. Amazingly in those games where a team’s defense scored more than 10 pts the winner held a record of 44-6 for an astounding win percentage of 88%. Numbers like that are very convincing – essentially if your defense can put up points more often than not you will get the win.

FSBO Now that we have established that a sound defense can make the difference between winning and losing, how important is it to draft a top ranked defense? Can you reach the holy grail of 10 weekly defensive fantasy points more consistently by playing match-ups than by drafting a solid defense? To look at this we took a look at the top 5 ranked defenses from pre-season live drafts and compared the performance of those units to the top 5 ranked weekly matchup defenses from weeks 1-4.

BrunoBoys.net

This site has a lot of great podcasts and articles from fantasy sports experts. Mike Whooley, Marc Caviglia, and Kyle Smith know what’s going on in online football, and they’ve made more than a few predictions in the past that have panned out. I listen to these guys on my way home from work, and depending on what they say, I have changed my roster, re-entered a draft, or even benched a player in my lineup before kickoff.

Table 3.

Cohort         STDEV

1                       30

2                       24

3                       34

4                       32

5                       38

So what have we learned? It appears that you need a top tier quarterback to win your league. The top quarterbacks put up more points and are no more erratic in the distribution of their scoring than an average quarterback. Drafting a quarterback projected to finish in the top 4 is a safe bet to ensure your quarterback is a top ranked player at the end of the season and you have a chance to win your fantasy football championship! You can be published without charge. You can to republish this article in your website or blog. Please provide links Active.


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